The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is celebrating 20 years since its formation, reflecting on its political influence, electoral victories, and setbacks. Despite its dominance in Kenyan politics, the party’s long-time leader, Raila Odinga, has yet to clinch the presidency after multiple attempts, raising concerns about ODM’s future direction.
ODM’s Political Journey: Strengths and Challenges
Founded in 2005, ODM emerged as a formidable opposition force, championing democracy, governance reforms, and social justice. Over the years, it has built a loyal support base and influenced national policies. However, the party’s reliance on Raila’s leadership has left it vulnerable to succession challenges and shifting political alliances.
ODM’s involvement in coalition politics, including its role in Azimio la Umoja, has sometimes led to compromises that weakened its negotiating power. Critics argue that these deals have often benefited ODM’s partners more than the party itself, making it difficult to secure the presidency.
The Big Question: What Next for ODM?
As the party looks ahead to the 2027 General Election, there is growing debate over its strategy and leadership. Some factions within ODM believe Raila should make another presidential bid, while others argue that the party must identify and groom a new leader to maintain relevance in an evolving political landscape.
The Road to 2027: A Critical Crossroads
With Raila’s political future uncertain, ODM must redefine its vision, strengthen its internal structures, and address internal rifts to remain a competitive force in Kenya’s political arena. Whether the party sticks with Raila or ushers in fresh leadership, the choices it makes now will shape its fate in the next election.